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  • My First AEP: Medicare Trends, SSBCI, and Thoughts on What’s Next

    A fresh perspective on grocery benefits, supplemental assistance, and improving beneficiary awareness

    I started working in the Medicare industry just a few months ago, and I’m currently experiencing my first Annual Enrollment Period (AEP). One thing I can say for certain is that it’s been both exciting and incredibly busy!

    As someone newer to the industry, I’ve enjoyed learning the ins and outs of Medicare, understanding how different plans work, and seeing firsthand how important these benefits can be to beneficiaries.

    But something else has caught my attention: how changes in Medicare Advantage supplemental benefits can affect not only beneficiaries but potentially the industry as a whole.

    And it’s led me to think about a relatively simple question:

    Could making Medicare benefits easier to understand actually help more beneficiaries use the benefits available to them?

    Looking Back at the 2025 Grocery Card Changes

    While researching the Medicare market and learning more about the industry’s recent history, I noticed something interesting.

    Some of the declines and challenges I observed within the industry appeared to begin around January and February 2025, shortly after changes to Medicare Advantage supplemental benefits took effect.

    That timing caught my attention because it coincided with changes to grocery allowances that many beneficiaries had come to recognize as their monthly “grocery card.”

    These cards had become a familiar and meaningful benefit for many individuals, helping with everyday expenses such as food and other qualifying purchases.

    When 2025 plan changes took effect, some beneficiaries saw those allowances reduced, restricted, or eliminated, depending on their insurance carrier and specific plan.

    To be clear, grocery benefits were not universally eliminated in 2025, and I wouldn’t suggest that those changes alone caused broader industry challenges. Many factors influence Medicare Advantage enrollment, consumer confidence, insurance company performance, and market activity.

    Still, I couldn’t help but wonder whether the timing was more than coincidental.

    Could the reduction or loss of a benefit that beneficiaries had grown accustomed to have contributed to some of the challenges that followed?

    I don’t have the data to establish that connection, but I think it’s a question worth exploring.

    When people become familiar with receiving additional assistance each month, changes to that assistance can understandably create disappointment, uncertainty, and confusion.

    And when those benefits help with necessities such as groceries, the impact can extend well beyond someone’s perception of their insurance plan.

    That brings me to something I believe deserves more attention: Special Supplemental Benefits for the Chronically Ill, or SSBCI.

    SSBCI: An Opportunity That May Be Overlooked

    SSBCI isn’t a new program. These benefits have been available through qualifying Medicare Advantage plans since 2020.

    However, as Medicare Advantage supplemental benefits have evolved, SSBCI has become an increasingly important way for certain beneficiaries with qualifying chronic conditions to receive additional assistance.

    Depending on the insurance carrier, plan, and individual eligibility, these benefits may include assistance with:

    • Groceries and healthy food
    • Transportation or qualifying fuel expenses
    • Utilities
    • Other everyday needs that support health and well-being

    These benefits aren’t automatically available to every Medicare beneficiary. Eligibility depends on qualifying chronic conditions and other applicable requirements, with individual Medicare Advantage organizations determining eligibility under federal guidelines.

    In that sense, SSBCI can provide a continued pathway to certain benefits that some beneficiaries previously associated with their grocery cards, although it is not a direct replacement for every benefit that changed in 2025.

    And from what I’ve been researching, SSBCI appears to be gaining ground, particularly in Medicare Advantage Special Needs Plans.

    That is encouraging, especially considering the changes many beneficiaries experienced with supplemental benefits in 2025.

    My hope is that continued attention to SSBCI, both within the insurance industry and at the federal level, could help more qualifying beneficiaries receive assistance with essential everyday needs.

    But I think there’s another question worth asking.

    Are Beneficiaries Actually Using These Benefits?

    One of the most interesting things I’ve discovered is the difference between a Medicare Advantage plan offering SSBCI and an eligible beneficiary actually receiving and using those benefits.

    Industry research shows substantial growth in the availability of SSBCI benefits, especially food and produce assistance within Special Needs Plans.

    However, comprehensive public data showing what percentage of potentially eligible beneficiaries are approved for SSBCI, and how many actually use those benefits, remains difficult to find.

    Individual carriers maintain eligibility and utilization information, and CMS has expanded supplemental-benefit reporting requirements. Still, that information has not translated into a readily accessible, comprehensive national picture of SSBCI utilization trends.

    I believe that distinction matters.

    A benefit can be widely available on paper without necessarily reaching everyone who could qualify for it.

    Wouldn’t it be helpful to understand not only how many plans offer SSBCI, but also how many beneficiaries qualify, receive approval, and actually use the benefits?

    More transparent, standardized reporting from CMS could help answer several important questions:

    • Is SSBCI utilization improving year over year?
    • Are eligible beneficiaries aware these benefits exist?
    • Are eligibility requirements and approval processes creating unnecessary confusion?
    • Are these benefits helping address some of the gaps beneficiaries experienced following earlier supplemental-benefit changes?

    Better data could help policymakers, insurance organizations, and the broader Medicare industry understand whether these benefits are reaching the people they’re intended to help.

    And if utilization is falling short of its potential, that information could help identify opportunities for improvement.

    Perhaps CMS could play a greater role in making utilization information publicly accessible, encouraging clearer eligibility communications, and helping ensure that qualifying beneficiaries understand what assistance may be available.

    To me, that seems like a worthwhile opportunity, particularly after the supplemental-benefit changes of recent years.

    Maybe Part of the Problem Is the Name

    This is where I think there’s an opportunity for a relatively simple improvement.

    Consider the name:

    Special Supplemental Benefits for the Chronically Ill.

    Or, as the industry calls it, SSBCI.

    For someone who works with Medicare terminology every day, that might make perfect sense.

    But what about a beneficiary who is already trying to understand Medicare Advantage, prescription drug coverage, deductibles, networks, and enrollment periods?

    Would that person immediately recognize that SSBCI might mean assistance with groceries, utilities, or transportation?

    I’m not so sure.

    And that made me think about another Medicare program.

    The Low-Income Subsidy, or LIS, is commonly known by a much simpler, beneficiary-friendly name:

    Extra Help.

    Those two words make the program’s purpose easier to communicate.

    Beneficiaries don’t necessarily need to understand the technical terminology behind LIS to recognize that Extra Help may provide financial assistance with prescription drug costs.

    So why couldn’t we take a similar approach with SSBCI?

    Perhaps something like:

    Everyday Support Benefits

    Extra support for everyday needs.

    Extra Care Benefits

    Additional assistance to support health and well-being.

    Healthy Living Help

    Help with everyday needs that support healthier living.

    These are just ideas, but the goal would be to communicate the purpose of the benefits in language beneficiaries can more easily recognize and remember.

    Personally, I think “Healthy Living Help” has an especially approachable sound. It connects the benefit to health while emphasizing assistance rather than complicated insurance terminology.

    The official SSBCI designation could remain in place for regulatory and administrative purposes, while a simpler public-facing name could make the benefits more approachable.

    Of course, any new name should clearly explain that eligibility is limited and benefits vary by plan. It should not create the impression that every Medicare beneficiary automatically qualifies.

    Could Better Communication Help Restore Confidence?

    I think there’s an important connection worth exploring between what happened with grocery-card changes in 2025 and how we communicate SSBCI today.

    When beneficiaries lose a familiar benefit, it can create frustration and uncertainty.

    But when another potential benefit exists and is described using complicated terminology, some individuals may never realize there could still be assistance available to them.

    That doesn’t mean SSBCI can or should replace every grocery allowance that was reduced or eliminated.

    It does mean that clearer communication could help qualifying beneficiaries better understand their options.

    And perhaps that could contribute to rebuilding some of the confidence affected by previous benefit changes.

    I also wonder whether there are beneficiaries today who may qualify for SSBCI assistance but have never explored it simply because they don’t recognize what the benefit is or how eligibility works.

    We shouldn’t assume that everyone who qualifies is missing out, but without more accessible utilization data, it’s difficult to know how significant that gap might be.

    If even a portion of eligible beneficiaries are missing assistance with groceries, transportation, or other essential needs because of confusion or lack of awareness, that’s an opportunity worth addressing.

    A Fresh Perspective on an Established Industry

    Being new to Medicare, I recognize there’s still a tremendous amount for me to learn.

    My first AEP has already shown me how complex this industry can be, but also how rewarding it is to help people better understand their healthcare options.

    One thing I hope to continue doing is looking at Medicare from the beneficiary’s perspective.

    Sometimes that means asking questions about systems that have been in place for years.

    Are we measuring the right outcomes?

    Are we making benefits easy enough to understand?

    And are we doing everything we can to ensure that eligible individuals know what assistance may be available?

    SSBCI appears to have meaningful potential, and its growing availability is encouraging.

    While the supplemental-benefit changes of 2025 may have contributed to uncertainty for some beneficiaries, I hope the continued development of SSBCI can help create a more positive direction going forward.

    With better utilization reporting, clearer communication, and perhaps even a simpler name, CMS and Medicare Advantage organizations could have an opportunity to help more eligible beneficiaries understand and access the assistance available to them.

    The next opportunity isn’t necessarily just expanding these benefits. It’s improving how we explain them, measure their actual use, and help eligible beneficiaries access them.

    If something as simple as calling LIS “Extra Help” makes a complicated program easier to recognize, perhaps SSBCI deserves a similar approach.

    Sometimes meaningful improvements don’t require creating an entirely new benefit.

    Sometimes they begin by making an existing one easier to understand.


    Author’s note: These are my personal observations and opinions as someone new to the Medicare industry. They do not represent the views of any insurance carrier, agency, or affiliated organization. This article is intended for general education and policy discussion, not insurance solicitation or plan marketing. Supplemental benefits and eligibility vary by Medicare Advantage plan.

  • When Rates, FX, and Price Action All Agree (Canada & US)

    Back in November, I was working through a macro question that, at the time, felt quite academic, and via price action, arguably clearly actionable:


    What happens when the U.S.–Canada yield spread reaches an extreme far outside its historical range? (I had noticed there was significant disparity)

    That question led me down a path comparing 10-year U.S. Treasury yields with 10-year Government of Canada bond yields, and more importantly, looking at the percentage difference between the two rather than just the raw spread.

    What stood out immediately was how stretched conditions had become.

    An Unusual Yield Divergence

    Historically, the U.S. 10-year yield tends to trade at a premium to Canada’s, but that premium usually oscillates around a long-run average of roughly 20%. At times it narrows, at times it widens — but it rarely stays extreme for long.

    By late 2024 / early 2025, that premium had expanded to nearly 45%, a level that sat well outside the norm going back to 2022. In other words, U.S. yields were offering almost half again as much return as their Canadian counterparts on a relative basis.

    That alone doesn’t guarantee anything — but in macro markets, extremes matter.

    Yield differentials influence capital flows, and capital flows influence currency prices. When one country’s bonds suddenly offer an unusually large advantage, capital crowds in. But when that advantage peaks, the balance of risk begins to shift toward mean reversion.

    The FX Implication

    If the yield gap were to normalize — even partially — the implication would be straightforward:

    • Less incentive to hold USD purely for yield
    • Reduced relative demand for U.S. assets
    • A stronger Canadian dollar
    • A declining USD/CAD exchange rate

    At the time, USD/CAD was trading near 1.40–1.41, an area that had already rejected multiple advances.

    Fundamentals Meet the Chart

    What made the thesis more compelling was that price action agreed.

    On the USD/CAD chart, the market was carving out a clear double top — a classic technical signal suggesting exhaustion rather than continuation. Technical patterns alone can fail, but when they align with fundamental stretch, they often carry more weight.

    In this case:

    • Fundamentals said the yield spread was historically extreme
    • Technicals said USD strength was running out of momentum
    • Together, they pointed toward CAD appreciation

    What Happened Next

    Over the next two months, that scenario played out almost textbook-style.

    • The yield spread began to compress
    • USD/CAD rolled over from its highs
    • Spot declined from ~1.41 to the low-1.33s
    • The Canadian dollar strengthened as relative conditions normalized

    No move is ever perfectly linear, but the directional thesis held.

    An Interesting Secondary Signal

    One additional development caught my attention more recently.

    As USD/CAD continued lower, 10-year yields themselves also began to drift down, reinforcing the idea that peak rate expectations were being reassessed. Then, almost immediately after I had been discussing this relationship verbally while brainstorming content ideas, the U.S. 10-year experienced a sharp one-day surge — roughly 7–8 times the average daily range of the prior two weeks.

    Was it coincidence? Possibly.

    Or it may have been:

    • Profit-taking
    • Hedging activity
    • Positioning adjustments around a widely recognized macro narrative

    In macro markets, reactions often occur after a theme becomes obvious, not before.

    The Broader Takeaway

    The real lesson here isn’t prediction — it’s process.

    Markets don’t move because of one indicator. They move when:

    • Relative conditions reach extremes
    • Flows begin to rebalance
    • Price action confirms the shift

    Yield differentials don’t dictate FX in the short term, but they tilt the odds. When those odds line up with technical structure, the probability of being on the right side of the trade increases meaningfully.

    Sometimes the most useful insights don’t come from forecasting the next data print — they come from noticing when the system itself has drifted too far from equilibrium.

    And eventually, it tends to find its way back.

    Putting This in Plain English

    Before wrapping up, it’s worth stepping back and explaining this in layman’s terms, because the core idea is actually very simple once you strip away the jargon.

    Below is a chart showing the percentage difference between U.S. and Canadian 10-year treasury yields over time.

    What I noticed in November was this:

    • Canadian 10-year treasury yields were significantly lower than U.S. 10-year yields
    • But more importantly, they were much lower relative to the U.S. than they had been on average in prior years
    • The gap wasn’t just “wide” — it was historically extreme

    In normal conditions, U.S. yields tend to be somewhat higher than Canadian yields. That difference fluctuates, but it usually stays within a fairly stable range.

    By late 2024 and early 2025, (and then when I noticed this in November of 2025) that relationship had stretched far beyond what had been typical since 2022. The U.S. was offering an unusually large yield advantage, while Canadian yields lagged well below both U.S. levels and their historical relative norm.

    When markets reach that kind of extremism, two things tend to happen:

    1. Capital flows become crowded on one side
    2. The probability increases that conditions revert back toward something more normal

    That doesn’t require a dramatic event — it can happen simply through:

    • Slowing momentum
    • Shifting expectations
    • Or gradual rebalancing of capital

    In this case, a move back toward a more normalized yield relationship implied:

    • Less relative demand for U.S. dollars
    • More support for the Canadian dollar
    • A declining USD/CAD exchange rate

    Which is exactly what unfolded over the following two months.

    The takeaway isn’t that yields must return to a precise average — markets rarely work that cleanly — but that when relative conditions stretch too far, they tend to correct in ways that ripple through currencies, bonds, and risk assets alike.

    Sometimes the edge comes not from predicting something new — but from recognizing when something has gone too far.


    See the Chart:

    2022–2025 overall (Jan 2022 → Dec 2025)

    • Average spread: 0.676 pp
    • Average percent difference vs Canada: 20.71%
    • Minimum: −5.29% (Jun 2022; Canada > US)
    • Maximum: 45.60% (Feb 2025; US >> Canada)

    By year (monthly)

    YearAvg spread (pp)Avg % diff vs CanadaMin % diffMax % diff
    20220.1815.89%−5.29%23.07%
    20230.59617.87%12.34%24.30%
    20240.86926.19%20.15%38.86%
    20251.05732.90%22.21%45.60%

    (BE SURE TO SEE THESE CHART PICS BELOW):

    The last two months on the U.S Treasury in response:

    The Daily candle highlighted the day I verbally mentioned about this conclusion I had drawn last November:

    The last two months of the declining USD/CAD spot since the conclusion I made (November)

    The clear double top larger technical indicator of the broad yearly market (Note that was 2025, we are now obviously in 2026):

    Closing Off:

    Thanks for reading and checking out this post!
    If you enjoyed this breakdown or found it helpful, feel free to leave a comment — I always appreciate the discussion and different perspectives.

    For more macro insights, market observations, and idea-building in real time, you can follow me here:

    TheJoshWorld

    • X / Twitter: @thejoshworld
    • Instagram: @thejoshworld
    • YouTube: TheJoshWorldMe
    • Tiktok: TheJoshWorldMe

    More to come — appreciate you being here.

  • Easy Shrimp Scampi w/ or Without Wine (A Simple, Alcohol-Free Option)

    My First Cooking Blog Post (And Why I’m Starting Here)

    This is my first time sharing a cooking post here — which might be a little surprising, or maybe not surprising at all.

    I do cook, but not constantly, and it’s probably not something I’ve been especially vocal about. I enjoy it, I experiment when I can, and I like figuring things out as I go.

    Still, I’ve made enough meals over time to know that some of the best ones come from working with what you have rather than chasing perfection. That’s what inspired this post, and why shrimp scampi felt like a good place to start.

    It’s familiar, quick, flexible — and, as it turns out, very easy to adapt if you don’t want to cook with wine.


    A Simple Swap That Still Works

    Classic shrimp scampi usually includes white wine, sometimes even flambéed — which can be fun, but also comes with a bit of risk (and the very real possibility of accidentally setting something on fire).

    This version skips all of that.

    By using a small amount of rice vinegar diluted with broth or water, you still get brightness and balance without:

    • Cooking with alcohol
    • Worrying about burning off alcohol
    • Flambéing anything
    • Or lighting up your stovetop unintentionally

    It’s also a nice option if you simply prefer not to use alcohol products at all.


    Easy Shrimp Scampi (With or Without Wine)

    This recipe is fast, forgiving, and especially good tossed directly with pasta so every noodle gets coated in that buttery, garlicky sauce.

    Ingredients (Serves 2–3)

    For the shrimp

    • 1 lb shrimp, peeled and deveined
    • ½ tsp salt
    • ¼ tsp black pepper
    • ¼ tsp red pepper flakes (optional)
    • 1–2 tbsp olive oil

    For the sauce

    • 3 tbsp butter
    • 4 cloves garlic, minced
    • ¼ cup white wine
      or
      Alcohol-free substitute:
      • 1 tbsp rice vinegar
      • 3 tbsp chicken broth or water
      • Optional: ½ tsp sugar
    • Juice of ½ lemon
    • Zest of ½ lemon (optional)
    • 2 tbsp chopped parsley

    For serving

    • Cooked pasta (linguine or angel hair works well)

    Instructions

    1. Prepare the shrimp
      Pat shrimp dry and season with salt, pepper, and red pepper flakes.
    2. Cook the shrimp
      Heat olive oil in a large skillet over medium-high heat. Add shrimp in a single layer and cook 1–2 minutes per side, just until pink. Remove shrimp from the pan and set aside.
    3. Make the sauce
      Reduce heat to medium. Add butter and garlic to the same pan and cook for about 30 seconds, until fragrant but not browned.
      Add the wine or the rice vinegar mixture and let it simmer for 1–2 minutes to mellow and combine.
    4. Bring it together
      Stir in lemon juice and zest. Return the shrimp to the pan, then add the cooked pasta directly into the skillet.
      Toss everything together so the noodles get fully coated in the buttery, garlicky sauce. If needed, add a small splash of pasta water to help everything loosen and cling.
    5. Finish and serve
      Remove from heat, sprinkle with chopped parsley, and serve immediately while everything is glossy and well coated.

    Why This Version Works

    What I like most about this approach is how relaxed it feels. There’s no pressure to do anything fancy, no flames involved, and no special ingredients you have to go out of your way to buy.

    You still end up with:

    • Tender shrimp
    • Pasta fully coated in sauce
    • Plenty of garlic and butter
    • Brightness without sharpness

    For a first cooking post, it feels like an honest representation of how I actually cook — adaptable, practical, and focused on enjoying the process rather than overcomplicating it.

    Feel free to share your other favorites methods for a recipe like this or let me know how it works out for you below 🙂

  • 2025 Highlights: TheJoshWorld Predictions, Trades, and Coincidences

    Introduction: Why I Started TheJoshWorld

    For almost a decade I’ve noticed things lining up — market shifts, global headlines, random coincidences that seemed to mirror thoughts or posts I’d made. In early 2025 I finally decided to document them publicly through TheJoshWorld. What follows isn’t a victory lap or a “look-at-me” list. It’s simply a highlight reel of the wildest, most telling moments that unfolded once I started putting my observations out in the open.


    1. Power and Politics: From Royal Dinners to Joshua Tweets

    Early in the year, the political world delivered one of those uncanny overlaps.
    I tweeted about how King Charles & Trump should get together for a ‘Chuck Steak, ‘ here. Two days later The Guardian ran a headline about an “unprecedented second state visit”. Timing like that always makes me pause.

    Not long after, a video circulated that seemed to feature Donald Trump mentioning my “poker” idea — a symbolic table where world leaders play cards instead of wars. In the clip, he even alludes to something sounding like my “geotokenizer” concept. Whether genuine or cleverly edited, it was surreal to watch. Around the same time, Trump posted a message on X about being “strong and courageous,” a phrase that mirrored themes I’d been discussing that week.

    These moments set the tone for the rest of the year: political theatre meeting digital coincidence.


    2. The February Short and Market Mayhem

    My birthday falls at the start of February, and this year I felt that the market — specifically the E-mini S&P — was positioned for a serious short squeeze. I talked about it privately and hinted online that conditions looked perfect to “put pressure on longs.”

    That forecast would end up aligning with what I called a “$350 billion move.” The timing wasn’t luck; the structure of the market looked heavy, and within weeks, indexes cracked hard. Even after I realized the contract expiration wasn’t when I’d thought, the drop played out nearly exactly as expected. It was one of those periods where instinct and structure converged.


    3. Tesla, Suppression, and the 420→220 Slide

    From January through March I was posting constantly about Tesla, Elon Musk, and how Twitter/X itself seemed to throttle certain voices — including mine.
    Hashtags disappeared, tweets vanished, notifications glitched. One of my accounts with 13K followers couldn’t even follow anyone.

    During that same stretch, Tesla’s stock sank from $420 to $220. Correlation isn’t causation, but I couldn’t help noticing the symmetry between railing at the algorithm and watching one of the platform’s biggest figures take a market hit.

    At one point I even turned the frustration into a bit of wordplay:

    “The ladderless lunk of a sunk to a sank of a song sing sung already.”

    It was creative venting — and a timestamp on a strange season for both social media and Tesla investors.


    4. Pendle, Brazil, and the Global Trades

    Not every highlight was a complaint; some were just perfect timing.

    Pendle’s Airdrop Surge

    I posted about it here. Within 17 days of receiving an airdrop the token had spiked roughly 60 percent, to the literal day of when I received the airdrop and had searched about it. Yes, a fake airdrop, but real market rhythm. (And if you dig down in my tweets, I do apologize for my ‘choice words’ on occasion, but unfortunately situations at points deemed as such it seemed at the time) 🙂

    The Brazilian Real

    Another thread here carried the caption, “Don’t invent the wheel, reinvent the ‘real.’” I often liked to tweet Elon Musk about things sporadically throughout the year, one tweet highlighted — “The 350 billion [prediction] in the ES last month was more substantial, but 5–6 million in a day [as predictions go] for Brazil still isn’t too much to scoff at.”

    The Real stayed about 8–9 percent higher months later. It felt fitting that a Kansas City native — Chiefs fan, former Geico employee, practically a neighbor of Patrick Mahomes — would make a good call on Brazil, where the Chiefs opened their season this year.

    And don’t get me started on the ‘People Go’ song I produced that I tweeted Taylor Swift about (kind of jokingly) and then 3 days later after telling Travis to marry her they got engaged. And no I’m seriously not joking.

    It’s nice to know maybe some people read my tweets haha


    5. The Summer Short and the 2016 Mimic Pattern

    In July I posted a chart showing how 2025’s market looked eerily like 2016’s.
    The accompanying tweet here warned that the setup could bring the usual September sell-off.

    “That would get us through sell-offs in September… but I doubt it would take out 4832/4835 in that move lol.”

    Sure enough, the market followed that mimic pattern closely. It was one of two or three déjà-vu-style trades that year where history didn’t just rhyme — it almost copied and pasted.


    6. Crypto Whiplash: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and the OpenSea Freeze

    The 74 K Call

    In late spring I posted a long, tongue-in-cheek tweet about Bitcoin pulling back to the mid-70 Ks:

    “I wouldn’t be surprised if we hit down 74–78 before … less of a buy trap from Trump/gov push…”
    Tweet link

    The market did exactly that — dropped into 74 K territory before rocketing to 127 K.

    The 127 K Double Top

    By the time Bitcoin touched 119 K–127 K, I called it a double top here and noted I’d been riding it down “since like 126.” Hours later the official @Bitcoin account celebrated its first 20 K-point daily candle — right into the 102 K low I’d mapped out.

    I posted follow-ups explaining the logic — that heavy bid walls were forcing a mechanical drop — here and here.

    Bitcoin the coming weeks continued to drop from that double top all the way down to nearly 80k.

    Ethereum and NFTs

    Around the time I started NFT-ing, Ethereum jumped roughly 36 percent in five days, eventually gaining about $1,700 from where I’d entered the NFT scene.
    Later I tweeted that it was “gunning the highs” here.

    The OpenSea Block

    At the peak of that momentum, a buyer tried to purchase one of my NFTs for $70 K — and OpenSea blocked the sale. I posted the screenshot here.
    Nothing like watching a life-changing notification turn into an error message.


    7. Oil, the Middle East, and a 10 Percent Swing

    One night I posted:

    “Whoops lol just called this LIVE AND REAL TIME IN MY OWN ETHER SPACE LOL…
    YES YES SHAWTY ARABIA IRAN SHAKL BE CUT OFF FROM THE COMEX CME NYMEX LOL.”
    Tweet link

    It was right as reports broke about U.S. strikes on Iran. Markets spiked at the open — then sank hard.

    Several months later I sent a half-serious, half-sarcastic reply to @khamenei_ir and @netanyahu, noting how the region seemed calmer and joking about “adding them back to the COMEX.”

    Five days later I followed up:

    “HOW ABOUT UP 10 % for ya Mr. Khamenei … since I posted this above.”
    Tweet link

    Oil had indeed risen nearly 10 percent. Whether I called it or just felt the tremor early, the chart tells the story.


    8. GoDaddy, Glitches, and a 100-Point Drop

    Tech platforms had their own sense of timing.
    One Thursday evening around 7 p.m., my GoDaddy site dashboard flashed a glimpse at the normal dashboard and immediately redirected to a secondary dashboard hiding my messages and other elements. Glitches like this seemed potentially another personal mishap like the other company induced blunders that had occurred throughout the year (of which there is a seriously growing list that I try to forget about). I posted a short video complaining:

    “Smh what the hell @GoDaddy 😔 Why? Really? What a bs country and to think they’re on the S&P 500 now unbelievable.”
    Tweet link

    Minutes later, the E-mini S&P dropped 100 points.
    My follow-up captured the disbelief:

    “WHOOPS MY BAD GUYS WHEN DID THAT 100 POINT DROP START AT 7:00 O’CLOCK ON A THURSDAY… MY TIMESTAMP TO A T NEARLY 👍 #s&p #markets.”
    Tweet link


    9. Reflections and What’s Next

    Looking back, 2025 wasn’t the first time these patterns appeared — it’s just the first time I shared them in real time. From political oddities to crypto double-tops, from fake airdrops to blocked sales, the record now exists in timestamps and links rather than just memories.

    The goal of TheJoshWorld has never been to prove supernatural timing or market mastery. It’s to document the overlaps — the places where digital expression and real-world movement seem to cross.

    Some of these highlights deserve deeper dives: the February short mechanics, the Tesla-suppression saga, the crypto reversals, the oil spike. I’ll be expanding on many of them likely in weeks/months to come.

    For now, this is the 2025 highlight reel — the year I finally started keeping track publicly. The patterns may be strange, but they’re real enough to record. And that, more than anything, is what TheJoshWorld is about.

  • Edge Lands and the Expanding World of theJoshWorld

    When I started theJoshWorld in January 2025, it began as a place to document the fascinating mix of things I work on — from music and markets to code and even cooking. It was meant to be a creative record of my life, a sort of open journal where others could follow along with what I build, make, and discover.

    The Music Journey So Far

    Since that beginning, music has remained at the center of my creative process. My first two albums, Lines, of Falling Ash and Ice Down, Harmonico, were both studio-produced projects that captured the evolving sound of my guitar work — part improvisation, part storytelling. Both are available on Spotify, Apple Music, and other platforms.

    In 2025, I released my third full-length album, Edge Lands — a 14-track exploration of texture, tone, and reflection. The tracklist includes:

    1. Treading Water
    2. It Claims
    3. 4 of 9
    4. For Today
    5. Rusted Metal A Liens
    6. Evaporating Up
    7. Winter’s Fades
    8. Whether How
    9. The Same
    10. New Days
    11. Late, of Night
    12. These Years
    13. Burning Bright
    14. The Edge of the Forest, The Edge of the Sea

    This album represents a deeper dive into emotional landscapes and improvised composition, blending ambient guitar layers with structured melodic flow. Each track grew from live performance energy and a desire to build something both cinematic and deeply personal.

    ⛪ Introducing Chapel Halls — Something New

    Alongside my solo work, I’ve been quietly building a side project called Chapel Halls — a Christian music project focused on worship and spiritual connection. The goal is to help people connect to God, the Creator, through music that’s heartfelt, reflective, and worship-centered.

    The debut Chapel Halls album is scheduled for release on October 10, 2025, and a single is already available. A good amount of work and intention has gone into it — from songwriting to production — and I’m excited for what it will mean for those who listen.

    💡 Beyond Music

    Outside of music, I continue to develop creative and technical projects — from software development and finance innovation to culinary experiments.

    🌊 Looking Ahead

    Whether it’s through music, art, code, or ideas, theJoshWorld is my way of exploring curiosity in public — documenting a life filled with creativity and sharing it with anyone who finds inspiration in it.

    As the world of theJoshWorld continues to evolve, Edge Lands marks another step in that journey — one that bridges the personal and the shared, and sets the stage for everything still to come.

  • Ice Down, Harmonico — New Album Release

    I’m excited to share my brand-new album, Ice Down, Harmonico. This project has been in the works for a decent amount of time, and it’s finally ready to meet the world.

    The album contains 9 completely new songs — tracks that haven’t been posted to YouTube or shared anywhere else before now. I’ve also decided to post a little less frequently on YouTube going forward, partly because of the ongoing YouTube view subtraction issue I’ve been experiencing. (I’ve written more about that in detail here).

    Alongside the new tracks, Ice Down, Harmonico also includes 7 previously released songs that some of you may already know from my YouTube channel. Altogether, the album weaves together both familiar and entirely new works, every song written and produced by me.

    You can now listen to the album on Spotify, and it should also be available soon on Apple/iTunes, Amazon, and other major platforms and stores.


    Tracklist

    1. Ice Down
    2. Glass On Film
    3. Time and Day
    4. Colors
    5. Korea Jima
    6. The Rain
    7. Try May Be Say
    8. In Spanish
    9. Broken Stairwells
    10. Nor Murk Nor Meadow
    11. Blue Light Mountains
    12. People Go
    13. Fake, to the Bone
    14. Like a Blue Gray
    15. Cold Foal
    16. Nesting Shoals

    Thoughts on the Album

    Much of this album is left open to interpretation. The songs are layered with meaning, and in many of them, there are hidden textures and threads woven in — pieces that listeners may catch on the second, third, or tenth listen.

    For me, writing and developing this album was a lot of fun. Some songs came out of spontaneous moments, while others grew over time as I added technical elements and subtle production details. Together, they form a body of work that reflects both experimentation and personal storytelling.


    Listen Now

    You can listen to Ice Down, Harmonico via the embedded Spotify player below, or by clicking through to the album on your platform of choice:

  • Echoes of ‘Korea Jima’ (New Song)

    I’ve written and produced a song called Korea Jima. As its name suggests, the song references both Korea and Iwo Jima — two places that carry immense historical weight and personal meaning for me.

    My grandfather fought in the Korean War, and my great uncle — along with other family members — served during World War II. My great uncle in particular played an important role in several Japanese battles, including Iwo Jima. He worked with heavy machinery to help prepare the beaches, clearing mines and laying the groundwork before troops landed under fire. Stories like his remind me that freedom is never accidental; it is earned through unimaginable sacrifice.

    Korea Jima is a reflection on war, family, and memory. The lyrics hint at the brutality of Pearl Harbor, when America was attacked with no warning or alarm, and the conflicts that followed — the Pacific battles and Korea.

    Lyrics:

    when the sun is shining
    the day is gonna be

    when the sun is shining
    nothings gonna see

    Nothing down at the waters edge,
    but you, me, and thee

    when the sun is shining
    the day is gonna be

    when the sun is shining
    nothings gonna see

    Nothing down at the waters edge,
    but you, me, and thee

    Iwa Jima, Korea
    Iwa Jima, Korea
    Iwa Jima, Korea

    when the sun is shining
    the day is gonna be

    when the sun is shining
    nothings gonna see

    when the sun is shining
    the day is gonna be

    when the sun is shining
    nothings gonna see

    Iwa Jima, Korea

    Iwa Jima, Korea

    Sitting back, watching things go by,
    Sitting down, hoping all those lies

    Sitting back, watching things go by,
    Sitting down, hoping all those lies

    But it draws, it draws,


    For me, this song isn’t just about remembering history — it’s about the importance of taking action. Life doesn’t wait for us when we sit back, hoping things will work themselves out. My family members, like so many others, didn’t just watch the world go by. They acted, they fought, and some gave their lives so that we could live freely today.

    Korea Jima is a reminder: never forget the importance of family, never forget those who sacrificed, and never let their courage fade from memory.


    P.S. I actually created three different versions of this song. I’ve chosen to release one for now, but one day I might share all three. Each version offers its own perspective on the battles, the war, and the way we remember history.

    -Josh


    Connect with Me

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    Click here to watch Korea Jima

  • Two New Songs and a Special Bonus

    If you’re here just for the special bonus, scroll down to the last section — but I think you’ll want to stick around for these two brand-new tracks from my next album.

    After my debut album — a 16-song collection of fully produced studio tracks — I’m excited to share two new songs that will be part of my upcoming 2nd album release. Like all my studio versions, both are built from original pieces I’ve written before, but this time they’ve been reimagined with more technical elements, including enhanced production layers and a touch more electronic texture to expand their sound.


    Glass on Film

    This song is being left open to interpretation, though it carries lines that could be read as a nod to persevering through difficult times. It’s layered, dynamic, and one of my favorites from this new chapter in my music.

    Lyrics:

    the road is marked with nothing like and empty sand of rain
    aint not water rock or glass nor fame

    the road is marked with nothing like and empty sand of rain
    aint not water rock or glass nor fame

    Then you get a bit of rain outside
    something saying dont demise

    Like a piece of glass on film but not

    Just saying, when nothing’s left to go,
    you ought to ought to know,
    it aint always so

    Just when there’s nothing left to be
    it’s closing time to see
    where to go

    instrumental

    Just saying, when nothing’s left to go,
    you ought to ought to know,
    it aint always so

    Just when there’s nothing left to be
    it’s closing time to see
    where to go


    Time and Day

    Also left up to interpretation, Time and Day carries a reflective, almost cyclical structure in its lyrics. Like Glass on Film, it’s adapted from one of my original works but now comes alive with more intricate arrangement and subtle electronic elements that expand its atmosphere.

    Lyrics:

    the future lays time and day
    the future lays time and day
    the future lays time and day
    the future lays time and day

    then you find the road outside
    of the lines that make the night

    then you find the road outside
    of the lines that make the night

    then you realize nothing matters
    then you realize nothing matters
    then you realize nothing matters
    then you realize nothing matters

    the future lays time and day
    the future lays time and day
    the future lays time and day
    the future lays time and day

    the future lays time and day
    the future lays time and day
    the future lays time and day
    the future lays time and day


    The Special Bonus: Martial Flaw

    This is something different — a song I wrote around four months ago, when Volodymyr Zelenskyy had enacted martial law to maintain his office in Ukraine. The guitar portion was composed back then, but the lyrics came later. The track is a critique of using martial law as a political tool to manipulate an election — something I don’t believe the world should stand for. Nearly every nation upholds its constitution as the framework for leadership, and breaking that principle undermines trust and governance.

    Coincidentally, the timing of this release aligns with the same week Donald Trump deployed the National Guard to Washington, D.C. for extra security. While that’s clearly not the same as exceeding term limits, it does serve as a reminder that leaders everywhere should resist overstepping constitutional boundaries.

    Lyrics:

    Uk of rain, nothing but the stain, like a bit shame
    Your tick of tame, not to speak of pain, nothing but the frame
    like the pic of do, nothing but your lieu, sitting in the off
    on of what to tice, nothing but your lice sitting with a splice

    Martial Flawwwwwwwwwwwww,awwwwwww,awwwwwww
    Martial Flawwwwwwwwwwwww,awwwwwww,awwwwwww

    Martial Flawwwwwwwwwwwww,awwwwwww,awwwwwww
    Martial Flawwwwwwwwwwwww,awwwwwww,awwwwwww

    Crane like a bird, nought but a word sitting of the U
    wings like duck quacking not of luck peking like the stew
    crossing faulty lines, flipping with the crimes, breaking term with times
    moving to your back, watching what you lack, better hear you quack

    Martial Flawwwwwwwwwwwww,awwwwwww,awwwwwww
    Martial Flawwwwwwwwwwwww,awwwwwww,awwwwwww

    Martial Flawwwwwwwwwwwww,awwwwwww,awwwwwww
    Martial Flawwwwwwwwwwwww,awwwwwww,awwwwwww


    If you’ve been following my music, these tracks represent the ongoing evolution of my sound — rooted in my original writing, now taken further with thoughtful production and experimental layers. Glass on Film and Time and Day will be part of my upcoming 2nd album, while Martial Flaw stands as a timely commentary piece.

    -Josh Montague


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    Glass on Film – Click here to listen/watch
    Time and Day – Click here to listen/watch
    Martial Flaw – Click here to listen/watch

  • Anchor End – Josh Montague (Album Closing)

    The Thematic Closing of an Album’s Journey

    Lyrics:

    In the light of the sun lit rays
    in the light of what sank for days

    In the light of the sun lit rays
    in the light of what sank for days

    is, the anchor of, your soul

    don’t forget from you to me,
    the tide and winds will not move thee

    In the light of the sun lit rays
    in the light of what sank for days

    In the light of the sun lit rays
    in the light of what sank for days

    is, the anchor of, your soul


    Anchor End, feat. FXRN, feels like the natural, perhaps inevitable, final chapter of this journey. It focuses on the moments when something in life has “sunk”—whether that’s a failure, a loss, a betrayal, or simply a season where we’ve been pulled under. Yet, it reminds us that even in those depths, there is something—an “anchor of your soul”—that holds fast. Something that keeps us grounded and keeps us from being swept entirely away by the tide and wind.

    The song doesn’t shy away from the imagery of struggle. It embraces the fact that life carries with it sunlit moments and shadowed days. The anchor here is both literal and symbolic: a point of steadiness when the rest is shifting water. It’s a quiet, steady encouragement that survival is possible, that holding on is worth it.

    As the thematic close of the album, Anchor End ties together a wide arc of history, emotion, and metaphor—touching each work that came before it:

    • Ashes in Rome (The Stone of Rome) – remembering the fall of empires.
    • Ruins of Pharaohs in Egypt (Flys will Pharaoh) – history’s grand powers brought low.
    • Mishaps of the Hapsburgs (Haps of Icebergs, Mis) – dynasties undone by missteps.
    • Nothing but Blackness Between Light and Dark (Between Light & Dark, Places) – the liminal spaces between extremes.
    • Our Darkest Days (Those Days) – and the reminder that they are gone.
    • The Relentless Motion of Life (Ebb and Flow) – how change itself becomes a force to reckon with.
    • What We Cannot Fully Grasp (Non,e) – the cryptic spaces between meaning and mystery.
    • Lacks in a Ballroom (What Lacks of Ball, Room) – the absence of what should be there.
    • Burning Pastures (Bright Pastures) – the risks of what we think will help.
    • The Search for the End (Close, what?) – and the questions we never quite answer.
    • Silence and Struggles (Velo, City) – the quiet wrongs that go unchecked.
    • A Meadow Fallen Plain with Lime on Yews (Meadow Fallen Plain) – devastation in the midst of beauty.
    • Falls of a Maestro (Falls, Maestro) – leadership, questioned.
    • A Broken Mast in the Roadway (Middle of the Roadway) – being stranded mid-journey.
    • The Space That Should Be (Ocean Meadows) – what it’s like to be denied space.

    In this light, Anchor End is more than just a closing track—it’s the final tether in an album that’s navigated ruins, conflicts, betrayals, losses, and silences. Where so many songs in this set focus on what was lost, destroyed, or left incomplete, Anchor End speaks to what remains.

    It’s the reminder that while ships may founder and storms may rage, if the anchor holds, the journey is not over.

    —Josh Montague

    🎧 Click Here to Listen to Anchor End


    Follow & Explore:
    🌐 Website: thejoshworld.com
    𝕏 Twitter: @thejoshworld
    🎵 TikTok: @thejoshworldme
    📺 YouTube: @thejoshworldme

  • Velo, City – Josh Montague [feat. Vitrae]

    (First Studio Song Featuring Female Vocals)

    Velo, City is a track wrapped in a strange stillness—an eerie, almost cinematic quiet that sits just beneath its melody. The lyrics center around “the distant silence” and “nothing’s put to bed”, evoking that uneasy feeling when wrongs are left unspoken, injustices are brushed aside, and truths go unacknowledged.

    This is the first of my songs to feature a female vocalist, and her delivery amplifies the track’s haunting atmosphere—mysterious yet deliberate, weaving subtle urgency through the stillness. The song’s tone suggests more than it states, hinting at accountability and trust as values that are too often sacrificed for comfort or convenience.

    The imagery of “locking the door and barring the latch” paints the picture of both protection and concealment—a duality mirrored in cities everywhere. Behind the walls and systems meant to uphold rights, shadows still grow. Velo, City plays with this irony—structures meant to defend you, me, all of us—while injustices persist in plain sight.

    Highlighted Lyrics:

    the distant silence
    nothings said
    the distant silence
    nothings put to bed

    lock the door and bar the latch
    lock the door and set the catch
    lock the door and bar the latch
    but, something is, about, to hatch

    velocity
    reciprocity
    is like a friend to be
    from yours to me

    from ta’s to ta’s*
    from ta’s* to tu
    from 2 to ti
    from me to you

    the distant silence
    nothings said
    the distant silence
    nothings put to bed

    the distant silence
    nothings said
    the distant silence
    nothings put to bed

    and so, you will go

    In its title, Velo hints at both speed and a veil—something moving quickly, yet hidden from view. City grounds it in a place where these patterns are most evident: the dense, layered environments where silence and noise coexist, and where what is seen is not always what is true.

    This song is a quiet confrontation—a reminder that the things people choose to ignore often speak the loudest. And when “nothing is put to bed,” the unrest remains.

    Click here to listen to Velo, City →

    🔗 Connect with Me
    Website: thejoshworld.com
    Twitter (X): @thejoshworld
    TikTok: @thejoshworldme
    YouTube: @thejoshworldme
    NFT Art & Digital Works: thejoshworld.com/nfts