Category: Finance, Markets

  • 2025 Highlights: TheJoshWorld Predictions, Trades, and Coincidences

    Introduction: Why I Started TheJoshWorld

    For almost a decade I’ve noticed things lining up — market shifts, global headlines, random coincidences that seemed to mirror thoughts or posts I’d made. In early 2025 I finally decided to document them publicly through TheJoshWorld. What follows isn’t a victory lap or a “look-at-me” list. It’s simply a highlight reel of the wildest, most telling moments that unfolded once I started putting my observations out in the open.


    1. Power and Politics: From Royal Dinners to Joshua Tweets

    Early in the year, the political world delivered one of those uncanny overlaps.
    I tweeted about how King Charles & Trump should get together for a ‘Chuck Steak, ‘ here. Two days later The Guardian ran a headline about an “unprecedented second state visit”. Timing like that always makes me pause.

    Not long after, a video circulated that seemed to feature Donald Trump mentioning my “poker” idea — a symbolic table where world leaders play cards instead of wars. In the clip, he even alludes to something sounding like my “geotokenizer” concept. Whether genuine or cleverly edited, it was surreal to watch. Around the same time, Trump posted a message on X about being “strong and courageous,” a phrase that mirrored themes I’d been discussing that week.

    These moments set the tone for the rest of the year: political theatre meeting digital coincidence.


    2. The February Short and Market Mayhem

    My birthday falls at the start of February, and this year I felt that the market — specifically the E-mini S&P — was positioned for a serious short squeeze. I talked about it privately and hinted online that conditions looked perfect to “put pressure on longs.”

    That forecast would end up aligning with what I called a “$350 billion move.” The timing wasn’t luck; the structure of the market looked heavy, and within weeks, indexes cracked hard. Even after I realized the contract expiration wasn’t when I’d thought, the drop played out nearly exactly as expected. It was one of those periods where instinct and structure converged.


    3. Tesla, Suppression, and the 420→220 Slide

    From January through March I was posting constantly about Tesla, Elon Musk, and how Twitter/X itself seemed to throttle certain voices — including mine.
    Hashtags disappeared, tweets vanished, notifications glitched. One of my accounts with 13K followers couldn’t even follow anyone.

    During that same stretch, Tesla’s stock sank from $420 to $220. Correlation isn’t causation, but I couldn’t help noticing the symmetry between railing at the algorithm and watching one of the platform’s biggest figures take a market hit.

    At one point I even turned the frustration into a bit of wordplay:

    “The ladderless lunk of a sunk to a sank of a song sing sung already.”

    It was creative venting — and a timestamp on a strange season for both social media and Tesla investors.


    4. Pendle, Brazil, and the Global Trades

    Not every highlight was a complaint; some were just perfect timing.

    Pendle’s Airdrop Surge

    I posted about it here. Within 17 days of receiving an airdrop the token had spiked roughly 60 percent, to the literal day of when I received the airdrop and had searched about it. Yes, a fake airdrop, but real market rhythm. (And if you dig down in my tweets, I do apologize for my ‘choice words’ on occasion, but unfortunately situations at points deemed as such it seemed at the time) 🙂

    The Brazilian Real

    Another thread here carried the caption, “Don’t invent the wheel, reinvent the ‘real.’” I often liked to tweet Elon Musk about things sporadically throughout the year, one tweet highlighted — “The 350 billion [prediction] in the ES last month was more substantial, but 5–6 million in a day [as predictions go] for Brazil still isn’t too much to scoff at.”

    The Real stayed about 8–9 percent higher months later. It felt fitting that a Kansas City native — Chiefs fan, former Geico employee, practically a neighbor of Patrick Mahomes — would make a good call on Brazil, where the Chiefs opened their season this year.

    And don’t get me started on the ‘People Go’ song I produced that I tweeted Taylor Swift about (kind of jokingly) and then 3 days later after telling Travis to marry her they got engaged. And no I’m seriously not joking.

    It’s nice to know maybe some people read my tweets haha


    5. The Summer Short and the 2016 Mimic Pattern

    In July I posted a chart showing how 2025’s market looked eerily like 2016’s.
    The accompanying tweet here warned that the setup could bring the usual September sell-off.

    “That would get us through sell-offs in September… but I doubt it would take out 4832/4835 in that move lol.”

    Sure enough, the market followed that mimic pattern closely. It was one of two or three déjà-vu-style trades that year where history didn’t just rhyme — it almost copied and pasted.


    6. Crypto Whiplash: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and the OpenSea Freeze

    The 74 K Call

    In late spring I posted a long, tongue-in-cheek tweet about Bitcoin pulling back to the mid-70 Ks:

    “I wouldn’t be surprised if we hit down 74–78 before … less of a buy trap from Trump/gov push…”
    Tweet link

    The market did exactly that — dropped into 74 K territory before rocketing to 127 K.

    The 127 K Double Top

    By the time Bitcoin touched 119 K–127 K, I called it a double top here and noted I’d been riding it down “since like 126.” Hours later the official @Bitcoin account celebrated its first 20 K-point daily candle — right into the 102 K low I’d mapped out.

    I posted follow-ups explaining the logic — that heavy bid walls were forcing a mechanical drop — here and here.

    Bitcoin the coming weeks continued to drop from that double top all the way down to nearly 80k.

    Ethereum and NFTs

    Around the time I started NFT-ing, Ethereum jumped roughly 36 percent in five days, eventually gaining about $1,700 from where I’d entered the NFT scene.
    Later I tweeted that it was “gunning the highs” here.

    The OpenSea Block

    At the peak of that momentum, a buyer tried to purchase one of my NFTs for $70 K — and OpenSea blocked the sale. I posted the screenshot here.
    Nothing like watching a life-changing notification turn into an error message.


    7. Oil, the Middle East, and a 10 Percent Swing

    One night I posted:

    “Whoops lol just called this LIVE AND REAL TIME IN MY OWN ETHER SPACE LOL…
    YES YES SHAWTY ARABIA IRAN SHAKL BE CUT OFF FROM THE COMEX CME NYMEX LOL.”
    Tweet link

    It was right as reports broke about U.S. strikes on Iran. Markets spiked at the open — then sank hard.

    Several months later I sent a half-serious, half-sarcastic reply to @khamenei_ir and @netanyahu, noting how the region seemed calmer and joking about “adding them back to the COMEX.”

    Five days later I followed up:

    “HOW ABOUT UP 10 % for ya Mr. Khamenei … since I posted this above.”
    Tweet link

    Oil had indeed risen nearly 10 percent. Whether I called it or just felt the tremor early, the chart tells the story.


    8. GoDaddy, Glitches, and a 100-Point Drop

    Tech platforms had their own sense of timing.
    One Thursday evening around 7 p.m., my GoDaddy site dashboard flashed a glimpse at the normal dashboard and immediately redirected to a secondary dashboard hiding my messages and other elements. Glitches like this seemed potentially another personal mishap like the other company induced blunders that had occurred throughout the year (of which there is a seriously growing list that I try to forget about). I posted a short video complaining:

    “Smh what the hell @GoDaddy 😔 Why? Really? What a bs country and to think they’re on the S&P 500 now unbelievable.”
    Tweet link

    Minutes later, the E-mini S&P dropped 100 points.
    My follow-up captured the disbelief:

    “WHOOPS MY BAD GUYS WHEN DID THAT 100 POINT DROP START AT 7:00 O’CLOCK ON A THURSDAY… MY TIMESTAMP TO A T NEARLY 👍 #s&p #markets.”
    Tweet link


    9. Reflections and What’s Next

    Looking back, 2025 wasn’t the first time these patterns appeared — it’s just the first time I shared them in real time. From political oddities to crypto double-tops, from fake airdrops to blocked sales, the record now exists in timestamps and links rather than just memories.

    The goal of TheJoshWorld has never been to prove supernatural timing or market mastery. It’s to document the overlaps — the places where digital expression and real-world movement seem to cross.

    Some of these highlights deserve deeper dives: the February short mechanics, the Tesla-suppression saga, the crypto reversals, the oil spike. I’ll be expanding on many of them likely in weeks/months to come.

    For now, this is the 2025 highlight reel — the year I finally started keeping track publicly. The patterns may be strange, but they’re real enough to record. And that, more than anything, is what TheJoshWorld is about.

  • The Russian Moex Index, Something Many Maybe Don’t Know of, Something I Discovered this Week

    The Russian Moex Index, Something Many Maybe Don’t Know of, Something I Discovered this Week

    How’s it going

    So originally this was going to be posted on my X @thejoshworld, but I realized I might start posting much of my content here on my website, as much of my content is of a longer nature and deserves more featured promotion.

    Especially considering my seriously disappointing venture into my analytics on X/Twitter, I think this is a better option for having more control over my content and not being unconstitutionally restricted (in my opinion) by platforms lying about analytics and doing what is questionably, and probably certainly illegal (watch that video here).

    Anyways, somehow I delved into the idea of the Russian markets of which I hadn’t previously been that familiar with, and so thus starts below, more of the post I had been working on, I hope you find it fascinating and informational 🙂

    Note: I didn’t receive anything for this post like a ‘sponsorship,’ they are just my opinions and put out there to try and help the world (many of you know America hasn’t even been treating ME fairly in my own country).

    Note: NONE of all I’ve done on X/Twitter has earned me any sort of compensation through 6/21/2025, yet I’ve spent numerous hours creating, writing, producing music, creating unique NFT’s, making videos, and thus far my country has made me feel nothing more than worthless and simply someone with whom they want to illegally allow idiots across America and the world to steal from. (Including over 20 American companies I have evidence on at this point).

    And trust me, I love America, somehow that will be overcome, but it’s incredibly disappointing (considering I’M related to two presidents, (Eisenhower, Ford) and also extremely directly, the first governor of the continent, William Bradford.

    Oh and Wallis Simpson, the only female to get a sitting King of England to abdicate the throne 🙂

    ——————————————

    Ok so now for the post:

    Hmm, I hadn’t researched this much yet, but Russia’s index look screams dividends (from 2017 image below) and sure enough, my hunch was correct, they have a 11.1% yield it appears they offer (or that is what it is most currently as)

    This was something I did not know, and as such figure I’d let anyone know that’s interested in diversification options that this is out there, appears it can be harder to INVEST in their markets for those that are looking to do something like that, I hadn’t seen this myself specifically but somewhat fascinating they offer such a great yield

    Seems strange that it’s restricted a bit, I suppose their higher yield model bodes well to some of it being Russia (maybe not wanting some sort of outside manipulation), but one could see how it could also be American companies/NY/Chicago trying to restrict it, but at the same time I think some groups like Vanguard @Vanguard_Group really should consider offering a general index fund that tracks it as an investment offering, maybe even @Fidelity too

    That’s quite a good dividend yield for an index though, and literally the investment screams that in my opinion

    Look at the picture, that’s instantly where my brain went after seeing it since 2017, it’s essentially a straight line(with expected variations to adjust scale, or other things)👍

    Also to note, Google then suggested something when searching also about Putin’s age (72), and makes sense their model might mimic for higher yields

    For instance, my grandfather also loved dividend paying stocks and many retired people often find that to be a stable option for living off their wealth as it guarantees returns while also frequently yielding at times some capital gains if bought at a good spot (though keep in mind it’s a index), which usually you know means, it goes up lol, so ironically enough, fantastic yields and the general bullishness expectation of indexes bode well doubly in that regard, when something along those lines comes to pass.

    (Photo with my Grandfather a few years back)

    Quite good on their part to maintain such a stable price for the most part even through their War time period, honestly, definitely a good achievement for them and makes me wonder what the effect of peace might have on their market as a whole too 👍

    I mean I don’t see how it would hurt it, I think Russia’s moves away from Iran some and also its positive relations with China (our good relations with both of them) and especially with China in business offer good opportunities for all 3 of us and our European allies. I think Europe has certainly a degree of dislike for Russia, but many fail to remember their assistance against Hitler and, let’s be honest, some of the Ukrainians have already been reported to be known Nazi’s 👍

    Explaining more of the attached images though, you can see from the third one, it only goes through 2020, most of the images i’m finding simply stop there from Google/Bing, but you can see it has rebounded a decent bit since 2022 (over 50% up, not to mention dividend paying) from their Moex site.

    Kind of neat, I hadn’t researched this too much yet but figured I would share

    Kind of a long post (remember most originally was intended for X or different social media, however,), I’m probably going to start bundling this all up into a post and put it on my site/blog (well now here you are)

    🙂


    Hope everyone is doing well, just my thoughts on this market, something I just researched and discovered more, I’m going to start posting on here more frequently, updating things related to my NFT@rt and music, as well as other frequent things going on, as I say, in theJOSHWORLD lol

    Alright, hopefully none of you missed my Godaddy X/tweet about moving 900 billion (calc part) last week, my 70 million Brazilian Real Trade recommendation from late March/April, my 2016 Mimic Pattern Prediction of 120 point drop prediction also from last week, my tweets concerning US/Iran war and me mentioning ‘looking up’ from yesterday, or even my 350 billion dollar trade scream/talk from Febrary (4 markets 1.5 trillion ish).

    Some day I’ll get around to posting that Bitcoin short I told Michael Saylor about, I’m just tired, but I’ll get the link in, HERE IT IS haha

    Oh right, after they covered those postions at $74-77 like I mentioned it soared right up to $110, cool

    Later guys

    Just stuff going on in my world. Have a nice weekend everybody 👍

    -Josh Montague